It is sad to say, but it seems to me that investors trust corporations more than the US government.  Given the choice would you rather invest in politicians by buying bonds that yield next to nothing in return for your investment or invest in Procter and Gamble, GE, Microsoft or even Google?  I know that the government will certainly spend the money on something that may or may not benefit the country.  Financially, we are so overleveraged it is a joke with China owning the majority of our trillion plus dollar debt?  We would certainly be bankrupt if we were a corporation.  Market competition demands that companies hire the best minds to earmark investment for something that will benefit the Company giving it a competitive advantage.  The Company has to make money or its debt load will eventually sink it below the minimum listing requirements of an exchange resulting in bankruptcy.  Not a good investing opportunity.  Investors are looking for hot stocks. Stock market analysis points many directions when looking at the current market in respect to other periods of enormous default on notes.  It’s certain banks will fail, companies will fail and the government will falter.  However, large corporations and agile corporations that have good access to capital in conjunction with a unique business model will flourish. Defensive sectors and the DOW in general as a defensive market for world investments leads me to like the US markets and the Swiss market cause they are above the law with caves full of gold.

So 12,000-15,000 on the DOW between 2011 and 2013 is greatly possible and remember that trading futures is extremely risky.  It should only be attempted by very experienced investors who have filled out the necessary FINRA compliance paper work with their broker dealer in addition to consulting a FINRA Registered Representative before making any investment decision.

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Most of Asia closed up with the exception of China.  The Yuan test continues as China is actually being proactive and testing what its merchants can sustain in order to gauge the approach the Chinese central bank will implement to fight inflation.  China continues to be the largest owner of US debt.  Many penny stocks are coming out of China. There are many reasons to follow China with the aforementioned ranking close to the most important.  We have released several stock picks of Chinese companies in the past. Europe is trading up today with the exception of Switzerland.  The world markets seem to be skipping along with the nice move in the US markets.  So it’s easy at this point to look at the current issues the US financial markets face and take a very bearish attitude and call for huge market correction because of a huge over valuation in stocks.  There are always a litany of justifications and fundamental or technical arguments these economists will come up with.  Other than 15 plus years experience in almost every capacity in the securities business, I base my current premise on the prevailing direction the DOW will trend on one thing that I’ve noticed recently, HOPE.

Yes, HOPE is the prevailing indicator that leads me to look at long term option positions on DOW futures contracts 1-3 years out from 12,000-15,000 respectively from 2011-2013.  The fact that there is actually hope in the third world to increase the living standard of those that have the least is starting to bridge the income disparity gap.  Central America, South America, Africa, Malaysia, and Indonesia among other countries are all in various stages of expansion based on the exportation of non-durable goods.  These staples of life increase the employment of those that are willing to work for the lowest wages but have skill sets to fit the work.  As the business grows and tasks become more complicated, a supply to demand variable in available skilled laborers increases the wages that are earned by the working class.  As in the textile boom in the United States where we replaced the UK and Europe as the nexus for skilled production, there is a similar revolution occurring in these locations, but it is based upon non-durable goods exportation. Some of the next hot stocks in the stock market are coming out of Latin America and Asia.

Okay ITALY, I love Italy by the way. Their shoes and clothes are to die for. We have found several stock picks and penny stocks before related to shoes and clothes. Spending time in fashion shows in Milan there is A LOT to realize about Italy. Gelato at the canals of Milan, Gelato with an Italian model on the canals of Milan even better, or Double Chocolate Gelato with two Italian models on the canals at Milan may be the best. BUT BULGARIA, and even worse if you ask any northern Italian are the Chinese sweatshops outside Florence and further to the South. Bulgaria now knocks off shoes and sells them to the EU and pays its works a fraction of the skilled Italian artisan. Even Italians are ripping off Italians. What is the effect??? The largest industry fashion is in BIG trouble in Italy with 5% of companies already shutting down and another 30% on the fence. PETA has actually dented the industry a bit and I sadly say as I think any person who would walk right by a homeless man begging in LA on their way to attend a PETA rally should be tried in court for being a trader to their species. To each their own, after all, there are no homeless in the US. Then PETA can tell me to take off my crocodile shoes. The point of this mild digression was to point out that there are problems everywhere in the EU before they even really try to take on the issue of getting Greece out of default then what about Spain, Portugal, Ireland, and France???

Hmm… South America may have earthquakes, but that is part of the reason for the vast variety and yield of crops from there. The durable goods sector in South American can yield some hot stocks and penny stocks. I still say fade regional banks and go strong exporters (S.A.) and S.A. funds, and sell the EU. The Euro may fall for a while vs. the Dollar. I don’t care who is in political office particularly who is President as we have to make money either way, but at least entertain me and make a decision. At least Bush the sequel constantly made decisions followed by decisions about his decisions and made us laugh about it. Our current President took a nation so ultra left pulling where I heard comments from some of the hardest leaning right wingers out there that maybe the line between religion and politics had been breached in the GOP and that a bit of Democratic control might help and he actually turned this notion by inviting the Republicans right back into power. Putting down certain politicians would be redundant so I can’t say buy the dollar, but I really, really, really want to.

That’s all…hope you enjoyed the full moon over the weekend…expect a full moon Monday at the open and opening volatility… Enjoy our penny stock picks, stock market analysis, hot stocks, stock newsletter and stock market trends.

Traversing the EU landscape is quite difficult and looking for penny stocks in Europe as it is full of quicksand, xenophobia, far right nationalism, far left radical cells, centrist mouthpieces, landmines, and far worse. How would anyone ever think that a group of countries that have invaded one another, fought against, alongside, hated each other, made peace, only to begin again, committed war crimes/atrocities in the last decade, then take into consideration all the unique cultures mashed together and you have a powder keg for disaster. Surprisingly, didn’t the EU see that the real trade enemy was not the “Chinese at the Gates” dumping product? In fact, the undoing of the EU may come at its own hand. Hot stocks can still be found.

While traveling through Europe in September and October, I couldn’t help but notice some interesting things that were going on. Well, Switzerland doesn’t belong to the rest. I have to say that I always say the Swiss run everything the same way the second hand of a ROLEX ticks perfectly on your wrist. Switzerland is always a step ahead of the game already knowing all possible outcomes and what it risks in every scenario. Well, France and Italy, I discovered, were nothing close to Switzerland. It’s a given that there will be groups of French, who enjoy getting the best of Jenson under their breath while enjoying the safety in numbers principle. And I say bless them, they were so kind to give us Champagne, Croissants, Universal Surrender Techniques, and 101 ways to prove to yourself that philandering is okay. I’m sure you can find a lot of stock picks with popular products derived from France. There was a deeper need to be upset with me for having had the audacity to be AMERICAN, so I had to look deeper into this. The fact is that beyond Societe General the bank, I am not that excited about France’s economy as they suffer the same affliction many of their Socialist counterparts… Labor Unions and the retirement packages they have secured. I guess when you have entire parties in these countries driven into office by unions the lobbyists have some power. However, in a country quickly losing its ability to remain competitive compared with emerging competition from countries where forming unions is punishable by firing squad, there is very little light. You can’t have an aging population, full pay and benefits for life, and generally poor standards until your 800 pound gorilla is standing on your head relieving itself. Keep looking for hot stock picks.

Okay, back to hot stocks and my daily stock picks.  Well back to South America.  Right now almost every country is showing huge growth as the world needs the non durables that Mexico, Central America and South America are exporting.  The year over year growth in these countries is staggering.  In addition, the average age and buying power is shifting as there is increasing buying power from a younger average demographic and a burgeoning middle class or lower middle class.  Any country exporting to these countries or even investing in some of the foreign markets as securities creates enormous opportunity.  We are involved in exportation to the aforementioned countries and always are asked by our distributors if we can send electronics, recreational items and other durables.  They are so expensive in these countries and limited that there is a huge opportunity for those who are willing to respect the cultural demand of doing business primarily in Spanish, respecting the culture and providing good customer service.  The cell phone business is exploding with just a few carriers providing coverage for potentially millions of subscribers.  These are good companies to invest in as a sector, ADR or direct investment as recommended by your FINRA registered investment advisor.

All tourist businesses are flourishing in these countries as they are incredible destinations.  Having traveled to many of these countries, it is mind boggling how affordable a vacation is.  Casinos, jungles, volcanoes, pristine empty beaches, surf breaks, archeological discoveries of Mayan temples and Inca architectural brilliance, countries embracing foreigners…just a portion of what a couple thousand dollars US will buy you for two.  You can’t spend money even if you try.  5 lobsters, 5 beers and all the fresh fish you can eat will set you back 10 dollars.  3,000 sq foot luxury hotel rooms with your own pool overlooking the ocean will set you back 50 dollars a night.  The only sad note that must be added here is that the relative cost of traveling reflects upon the rampant poverty as the gap between the rich and poor is staggering.
Some of these countries have an average annual income of approximately $2,000.  The strengthening exporting power in these countries is helping this situation a bit in addition to the growing tourist industry, but this disparity is an enormous gap not to be soon narrowed.  Surprisingly, Columbia is now considered one of the safest countries to travel in with Nicaragua being the second fastest growing economy in Central America while sadly Mexico has one of the highest murder rates per capita in the world.  Kidnapping and ransom is another issue in some countries so caution is always recommended while investing or traveling though the most dangerous thing you can do is get behind the wheel in the US with someone texting next to you.  Just a bit of perspective on the warped sense of reality the US media feeds us.

So I’m just going to break it down on investing in the current market from the macro side.  I just spoke to a close friend who returned from Columbia.  Basically everything laid out from an economic analysis of their observations regarding the country further strengthens the stock market trends that we have been observing and reporting in our various stock newsletters.  The fact is that the strongest economies currently are those of exporters.

More specifically exporters of non durables where the country has limited exposure to the primary tidal wave of bank debacles associated with mortgage backed securities and the coming tidal wave of potentially devastating exposure of banks that own the debt from the commercial real estate market.  In the US, the regional banks have been falling like dominos and are either taken over by the FDIC or absorbed by investing groups that plan on creating the next round of debt related exotic securities.  This time the notes are from the billions of bad debt related to commercial property.

It is a simple pattern in the US that has been repeated a number of times.  This is perhaps the most devastating economic crisis the country has ever faced.  Basically the dollar is weak.  Companies in the US laid people off. This in combination with a huge number of loans on residential property handed out like hot cakes to non qualified investors.  Then the trading of this d and f or Omega in reality as my economist friend likes to liken it too, the last letter in a dead language quality wise.  Companies are no longer able to pay their rent.  Retail space has also been built out too quickly and even those buildings and strip malls once considered sure bets for high occupancy rates instead have record rates of available space.  This creates another phenomenon of commercial notes becoming non-performing and the banks are forced to rate it as bad debt.

Now the big four banks are decently positioned with their (our) TARP bailout money and other revenue streams to handle the bad debt on their books.  They have just stopped loaning and are pushing towards opening new accounts and fee based money management.  The huge problem is the billions of commercial real estate debt owned by the regional banks that did not receive any bailout money.  In Southern California, there are many regional banks that fit into this sad reality.  In fact, we’ve had a chance to look over many opportunities for investing in notes from various regional banks.  So investing tip number one, and this is difficult for us to admit as my life has been surrounded by stock picks for more than 15 years, BUY debt on commercial properties.  There are amazing opportunities out there to pick up the debt on commercial properties that are still performing.  Often the debt can be purchased for a 50%-70% discount to face value.  Further negotiations with the current owners of the property can increase that margin significantly as eventual failure and non-performance on the debt is likely and complete ownership will ensue.

SpeculatingStocks.com has released penny stocks NSU, EMKR and DNN as its three latest stock picks.

December 3, 2008: 12:01 AM — SpeculatingStocks.com has released three stock picks. All three are penny stocks in different sectors. The first penny stock pick discussed below operates in the gold sector in Africa, the second of the penny stock picks is on the cutting edge of the solar power market, while the third stock pick released by SpeculatingStocks.com operates in the uranium production space.

Russ Urban, founder of SpeculatingStocks.com commented, “SpeculatingStocks.com releases these three stock picks on the heels of several recent stock pick successes.”

SpeculatingStocks.com Stock Pick: Nevsun Resources Ltd. (NSU)

Stock Price: $0.41

Nevsun Resources, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties. It primarily focuses on properties with gold, as well as base metal, such as copper and zinc resources/reserves in Africa.

NSU is a small cap gold company trading at a market cap of less than $55 million. It has received a lot of attention in the past and has now pulled back. We believe gold stocks will continue to shine now that gold prices are back in an uptrend. Small cap gold stocks could provide the biggest gains for investors in the gold mining sector.

NSU is trading significantly off of its highs of $2.50+ from earlier this year and off its short-term high of $0.74 in a recent uptrend. Gold moved off its sideways pattern and reached a high above $820 and has now corrected down to around $780 where it has begun to stabilize. We expect gold prices to move back above $800 and challenge $900 in the short-term and in the long-term we believe we will see gold up over $1,000 per ounce as inflation attracts investors to gold mining stocks.

NSU received approval on October 30th for an $89 million commitment to the development of the company’s Bisha Project. The development of this project places NSU in a favorable position to take advantage of rising gold prices. The company has commented that the project has low site operating costs throughout the projected mine life and high returns. Production is expected to start on this project is during Q2 2010. We expect this project to be priced into NSU shares moving forward.

SpeculatingStocks.com Stock Pick: EMCORE Corporation (EMKR)

Stock Price: $1.62

EMCORE Corporation is a leading provider of compound semiconductor-based components and subsystems for the broadband, fiber optic, satellite and solar power markets.

The solar sector has suffered and EMKR has suffered along with it, but we expect the solar sector to rise and become hot again. We believe EMKR is a real bargain right now trading at a market cap of only around $125 million.

EMKR is trading significantly below its book value of $3.74. EMKR has created a new concentrated photovoltaic (CPV) technology that holds a more efficient solar cell than those created by FSLR’s thin-film technology. EMKR could win a lot of new solar business with their new technology. FSLR has been a leader in the CPV space moving from under $50 to over $300 at one point.

If EMKR’s solar technology catches on, we could see EMKR become a major play from its current level. In the past, EMKR moved from the $4.00 level to close to $16.00.

SpeculatingStocks.com Stock Pick: Denison Mines Corporation (DNN)

Stock Price: $0.79

Denison Mines Corporation is a premier intermediate uranium producer in North America, with mining assets in the Athabasca Basin region of Saskatchewan, Canada and the southwest United States including Colorado, Utah, and Arizona. Further, the Company has ownership interests in two of the four conventional uranium mills operating in North America today.

For the third quarter, DNN sold 517,000 pounds of uranium at an average price of approximately $64.75 per pound. DNN expects uranium production in 2009 to increase by approximately between 25% and 50%.

Several nuclear reactors are being constructed around the world and several more are in the planning stage. Uranium demand will surge as these nuclear reactors start to come online. We believe uranium prices will surge from where they’re at now and investors will look back wishing they had invested in a uranium producer like DNN.

DNN is working off of its lows right now and is a real value at its current price with short-term potential to move higher as well significant long-term potential. General Electric has been investing huge in nuclear related projects. DNN is well-positioned to take advantage of the opportunity in the nuclear wave.

SpeculatingStocks.com searches for great companies and stocks in the right point in their stock chart and in the right sector. We believe the stock picks above will become hot stocks in the short term.

The fact that penny stocks picks are risky and comprise a breed of stocks that are issued by relatively tiny companies cannot be discussed enough. For those of you who want guidance on the best stock picks, you would be well advised that penny stocks picks, are only for you if you like gambling and have the courage to lose money at times and other times reap possible huge rewards. For first time investors the whole process of investing needs sufficient experience and study. Penny stocks picks; however, may be a risk for any kind of investor. Here are a few helpful tips that will help you find the best stock picks.

Read more on Penny Stock Picks.