Category — Best Stocks

There is no doubt that the Apple iPad is a hot topic. Apple will ship their iPad on April 3rd. Commercials for the iPad have begun with spots during the Oscars Sunday night.

Many people have already asked themselves if they need or even want this less-than-apple-like device. Apple has great marketing and they will get a plethora of people to buy something that they don’t really need. The combination of stunning, sexy design and astoundingly brilliant marketing by Apple is why they have around a $200 billion market cap. In comparison, Microsoft, a long rival of Apple, has around a $250 billion market cap. Remember, Apple almost went extinct due to poor management throughout the 1990’s while Steve Jobs was at Pixar.

Not a huge amount of people will “need” the iPad. Some will have a specific use for the iPad which will make it worth buying for them.

One important fact that people should know about Apple is that they believe that shipping the product is most important. As Steve Jobs has stated in the past, “Real Artists Ship.”

The iPad shipping on April 3rd and the 3G iPad shipping shortly after are just version 1. Apple will improve the iPad and it will most likely fit brilliantly into a greater strategy down the road that Steve Jobs has already envisioned.

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So the DOW broke 10,600 yesterday and held despite a gloomy day for International markets.  Well, we could ask France evidently about the average cash positions of some HSBC private banking clients to substantiate that there is a considerable amount of Cash on the sidelines.  Again we reiterate our opinion that investing in the US stock market is one of the more attractive opportunities currently.  It could be argued in a myriad of directions, but our economy is gaining de facto strength by the weakness the EU is experiencing and uncertainty in China.  Google will see some beta increase today as China and Google are hashing out issues related to hacking issues traced back to some of China’s “government universities computer departments.”   In keeping with the humorous positioning we have seen many governments take in statements related to “diplomatic issues,” China has neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing and a China minister was quoted, “Hope Google will respect China law…internet will develop in China with or without Google.”  It’s also odd to watch the IMF and Amnesty International line up in Nigeria (after a massacre of 100-500 people this week in ethnic conflict), Congo and Sudan.  All countries that China has invested Billions in with the Sovereign Human Affairs clause “we don’t tell you what to do, you don’t tell us what to do.”  Western Africa is also coming under tighter scrutiny.  The Continent is a powder keg that is becoming a focal point in the international game of Raw Materials…China are like the Borg on Star Trek.  The Borg are an alien race that assimilates everything they come into contact with into a dense matter floating platform.  Again note that 100,000 people have been displaced in Somalia since January while China has pumped more than 10Billion into infrastructure in the Country planning a railroad track across the continent to access the iron ore and other natural resources they can take from the Country.  This is going to come to a head with the IMF and the UN.  They are smart and run everything through dual tax treaty tax havens.  Ironically, the Chinese entrepreneurs are taking after their Western counterpart with the brightest and “most creative” figuring how to even get around full tax exposure between African economies and China.   Cameroon cracks down on journalists.

The BOK intervened in and the Won traded up.  This is a platform for artificial parity with the dollar rally vs. the Euro.  Perhaps Korea is also attempting to pace with the Yuan hikes in China.  China traded down today as there is still concern growing about regional banks and tightening.

UBS is urging the Swiss government to pass what is a quasi dual tax treaty document.  As Obama plans to kick his effort to eliminate offshore tax benefits.  It will be interesting to see how the Swiss government responds.  The recent exposure of HSBC private banking information most likely has the country on edge.  Anyone who plays the game of RISK or has done business in Switzerland knows how seriously they take business.  It is still unclear what stance Switzerland will take thought it seems the US is challenging some very sensitive sovereign issues.  I think that Zurich will go silent for a period until the storm blows over.

Europe is trading up on new relative negative news and a strong day for the DOW.  Most of the EU could use ending the week on a positive note after much uncertainty prevailed throughout the week.  Especially after it is being reported that the European Economy will take 2-3 years to recover.  What does that really mean?  It would seem as if the other (or many) shoe(s) may drop in Europe as Greece, Spain and Portugal continue to remain in serious risk of defaulting no matter how they attempt to sugar coat it.

Sweden today recognized the WW1 Ottoman slaughter of an unknown number of Armenians as genocide. Turkey begged to differ.  Having studied the matter we have an opinion, but the stock market cares little for History.  In fact, its greatest strength and greatest weakness is the inability of the market to learn from historical cycles.  We base much of our trading decisions on current international and national trends in conjunction with various algorithms allowing us to process the information in relation to historical trends.  Of course, disciplined trading is a difficult skill to develop.  Accepting stop loss trading points is essential to long term success as a clear definition of risk tolerance must be associated with any trading model.  It has been said that mathematics can provide the answer to any question. ..it would seem the world could use some answers.

The Stoxx 600 US Index is up on the day.  Sign of futures being up in the US, but that can always change over the hours leading up to the bell.  It will be interesting to see if the Dow can hold 10,600 today to go test 10,750 of if profit taking and the Bears will test 10,500.

On a side note, the Oslo exchange is up 78% over the last 12 months.  The performance is amazing and I can’t even interject pickled herring slight as numbers speak for themselves.  We do think that some of the better performing markets may have reached a bit of resistance and the US and perhaps a few South American Indexes, will be the next to perform.  We must also note that Carlos Slim of Mexico just replaced Bill Gates as the wealthiest man in the word per Forbes at 53.7 Billion.  To accomplish this in a country that manages to have the approximately the 5th highest per capita murder rate notwithstanding current international crisis abroad is nothing short of amazing.  Though if we consider the monopolies of Cemex and Pemex (Cement and Oil/Gas), this enormous growth in wealth makes sense.  We will leave conjecture based on banking activities related to ill-gotten gain from drug trafficking out of our discourse on Mexico.

Penny Stocks and Penny Stock Picks

In keeping with the fascinating dichotomy of quoted opinion from leaders of EU nations, French President Sarkozy stated today that several EU nations had prepared a bailout package for Greece though he did not expect this to be necessary.  Now did this statement drive the credit default swap spread tighter on the riskiest corporate offerings in the EU?  Did everyone just forget the statements from France’s counterpart in Germany at the end of last week?  The DAX is up nicely on the open today?  Perhaps France is carrying some risk though obviously to a lesser degree than Spain or Portugal.  Fascinating how the stronger economies in the EU are not interested in a bailout of Greece while the riskier economies claim a bailout is eminent though not probable.  Just noting the ongoing discrepancies for later analysis though we all invest in the stock market because of its short term memory that a weekend can facilitate.  We are well on our way to DOW 12,000.

This being said, of course OPEC is doing its best to drive oil back to the $80-$100 range.  Of course, according to Libya’s OPEC representative, this will not affect the global recovery.  Now this statement might be slightly biased as OPEC clearly will benefit from higher oil prices.  Much of the world is quite close to considerable inflation concerns.  China says it may be willing to exit its special exchange rate policy when world economic conditions are right and the Yuan is undervalued on low local reserves.  The reverse requirement hikes are not indicative of a tightening money supply.  Generally, I think if you write the exact opposite of what is printed and look at it next to the printed headlines, the truth comes out between the lines.  China is heavily leveraged though they are playing their cards so wisely.

Penny Stocks and Penny Stock Picks

Okay, back to hot stocks and my daily stock picks.  Well back to South America.  Right now almost every country is showing huge growth as the world needs the non durables that Mexico, Central America and South America are exporting.  The year over year growth in these countries is staggering.  In addition, the average age and buying power is shifting as there is increasing buying power from a younger average demographic and a burgeoning middle class or lower middle class.  Any country exporting to these countries or even investing in some of the foreign markets as securities creates enormous opportunity.  We are involved in exportation to the aforementioned countries and always are asked by our distributors if we can send electronics, recreational items and other durables.  They are so expensive in these countries and limited that there is a huge opportunity for those who are willing to respect the cultural demand of doing business primarily in Spanish, respecting the culture and providing good customer service.  The cell phone business is exploding with just a few carriers providing coverage for potentially millions of subscribers.  These are good companies to invest in as a sector, ADR or direct investment as recommended by your FINRA registered investment advisor.

All tourist businesses are flourishing in these countries as they are incredible destinations.  Having traveled to many of these countries, it is mind boggling how affordable a vacation is.  Casinos, jungles, volcanoes, pristine empty beaches, surf breaks, archeological discoveries of Mayan temples and Inca architectural brilliance, countries embracing foreigners…just a portion of what a couple thousand dollars US will buy you for two.  You can’t spend money even if you try.  5 lobsters, 5 beers and all the fresh fish you can eat will set you back 10 dollars.  3,000 sq foot luxury hotel rooms with your own pool overlooking the ocean will set you back 50 dollars a night.  The only sad note that must be added here is that the relative cost of traveling reflects upon the rampant poverty as the gap between the rich and poor is staggering.
Some of these countries have an average annual income of approximately $2,000.  The strengthening exporting power in these countries is helping this situation a bit in addition to the growing tourist industry, but this disparity is an enormous gap not to be soon narrowed.  Surprisingly, Columbia is now considered one of the safest countries to travel in with Nicaragua being the second fastest growing economy in Central America while sadly Mexico has one of the highest murder rates per capita in the world.  Kidnapping and ransom is another issue in some countries so caution is always recommended while investing or traveling though the most dangerous thing you can do is get behind the wheel in the US with someone texting next to you.  Just a bit of perspective on the warped sense of reality the US media feeds us.

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