Category — Best stock
OPEC is doing its best to drive oil back to the $80-$100 range
In keeping with the fascinating dichotomy of quoted opinion from leaders of EU nations, French President Sarkozy stated today that several EU nations had prepared a bailout package for Greece though he did not expect this to be necessary. Now did this statement drive the credit default swap spread tighter on the riskiest corporate offerings in the EU? Did everyone just forget the statements from France’s counterpart in Germany at the end of last week? The DAX is up nicely on the open today? Perhaps France is carrying some risk though obviously to a lesser degree than Spain or Portugal. Fascinating how the stronger economies in the EU are not interested in a bailout of Greece while the riskier economies claim a bailout is eminent though not probable. Just noting the ongoing discrepancies for later analysis though we all invest in the stock market because of its short term memory that a weekend can facilitate. We are well on our way to DOW 12,000.
This being said, of course OPEC is doing its best to drive oil back to the $80-$100 range. Of course, according to Libya’s OPEC representative, this will not affect the global recovery. Now this statement might be slightly biased as OPEC clearly will benefit from higher oil prices. Much of the world is quite close to considerable inflation concerns. China says it may be willing to exit its special exchange rate policy when world economic conditions are right and the Yuan is undervalued on low local reserves. The reverse requirement hikes are not indicative of a tightening money supply. Generally, I think if you write the exact opposite of what is printed and look at it next to the printed headlines, the truth comes out between the lines. China is heavily leveraged though they are playing their cards so wisely.
March 8, 2010 No Comments
Hot Stocks and Latin America / South America Markets
Okay, back to hot stocks and my daily stock picks. Well back to South America. Right now almost every country is showing huge growth as the world needs the non durables that Mexico, Central America and South America are exporting. The year over year growth in these countries is staggering. In addition, the average age and buying power is shifting as there is increasing buying power from a younger average demographic and a burgeoning middle class or lower middle class. Any country exporting to these countries or even investing in some of the foreign markets as securities creates enormous opportunity. We are involved in exportation to the aforementioned countries and always are asked by our distributors if we can send electronics, recreational items and other durables. They are so expensive in these countries and limited that there is a huge opportunity for those who are willing to respect the cultural demand of doing business primarily in Spanish, respecting the culture and providing good customer service. The cell phone business is exploding with just a few carriers providing coverage for potentially millions of subscribers. These are good companies to invest in as a sector, ADR or direct investment as recommended by your FINRA registered investment advisor.
All tourist businesses are flourishing in these countries as they are incredible destinations. Having traveled to many of these countries, it is mind boggling how affordable a vacation is. Casinos, jungles, volcanoes, pristine empty beaches, surf breaks, archeological discoveries of Mayan temples and Inca architectural brilliance, countries embracing foreigners…just a portion of what a couple thousand dollars US will buy you for two. You can’t spend money even if you try. 5 lobsters, 5 beers and all the fresh fish you can eat will set you back 10 dollars. 3,000 sq foot luxury hotel rooms with your own pool overlooking the ocean will set you back 50 dollars a night. The only sad note that must be added here is that the relative cost of traveling reflects upon the rampant poverty as the gap between the rich and poor is staggering.
Some of these countries have an average annual income of approximately $2,000. The strengthening exporting power in these countries is helping this situation a bit in addition to the growing tourist industry, but this disparity is an enormous gap not to be soon narrowed. Surprisingly, Columbia is now considered one of the safest countries to travel in with Nicaragua being the second fastest growing economy in Central America while sadly Mexico has one of the highest murder rates per capita in the world. Kidnapping and ransom is another issue in some countries so caution is always recommended while investing or traveling though the most dangerous thing you can do is get behind the wheel in the US with someone texting next to you. Just a bit of perspective on the warped sense of reality the US media feeds us.
March 4, 2010 No Comments
Current Stock Market from the Macro Side
So I’m just going to break it down on investing in the current market from the macro side. I just spoke to a close friend who returned from Columbia. Basically everything laid out from an economic analysis of their observations regarding the country further strengthens the stock market trends that we have been observing and reporting in our various stock newsletters. The fact is that the strongest economies currently are those of exporters.
More specifically exporters of non durables where the country has limited exposure to the primary tidal wave of bank debacles associated with mortgage backed securities and the coming tidal wave of potentially devastating exposure of banks that own the debt from the commercial real estate market. In the US, the regional banks have been falling like dominos and are either taken over by the FDIC or absorbed by investing groups that plan on creating the next round of debt related exotic securities. This time the notes are from the billions of bad debt related to commercial property.
It is a simple pattern in the US that has been repeated a number of times. This is perhaps the most devastating economic crisis the country has ever faced. Basically the dollar is weak. Companies in the US laid people off. This in combination with a huge number of loans on residential property handed out like hot cakes to non qualified investors. Then the trading of this d and f or Omega in reality as my economist friend likes to liken it too, the last letter in a dead language quality wise. Companies are no longer able to pay their rent. Retail space has also been built out too quickly and even those buildings and strip malls once considered sure bets for high occupancy rates instead have record rates of available space. This creates another phenomenon of commercial notes becoming non-performing and the banks are forced to rate it as bad debt.
Now the big four banks are decently positioned with their (our) TARP bailout money and other revenue streams to handle the bad debt on their books. They have just stopped loaning and are pushing towards opening new accounts and fee based money management. The huge problem is the billions of commercial real estate debt owned by the regional banks that did not receive any bailout money. In Southern California, there are many regional banks that fit into this sad reality. In fact, we’ve had a chance to look over many opportunities for investing in notes from various regional banks. So investing tip number one, and this is difficult for us to admit as my life has been surrounded by stock picks for more than 15 years, BUY debt on commercial properties. There are amazing opportunities out there to pick up the debt on commercial properties that are still performing. Often the debt can be purchased for a 50%-70% discount to face value. Further negotiations with the current owners of the property can increase that margin significantly as eventual failure and non-performance on the debt is likely and complete ownership will ensue.
March 3, 2010 No Comments
Best Stock - Top Stocks
All of us who invest in the stock market want to make some good money, and your odds increase if you find the best stock at a certain time. However, there arises the problem of knowing or identifying the top stocks which could be converted to the best stock for you. There are plenty of software, newsletters, TV and radio stock pickers as well as sites that will tell you which top stocks you could invest in. But in spite of all of this one needs to do their own homework in order to guarantee better profits from the best stock at a certain time.
Find more of the best stock out there.
November 3, 2008 No Comments
Best Stock, Top Stocks
All of us who invest in the stock market want to make some good money, and your odds increase if you find the best stock at a certain time. However, there arises the problem of knowing or identifying the top stocks which could be converted to the best stock for you. There are plenty of software, newsletters, TV and radio stock pickers as well as sites that will tell you which top stocks you could invest in. But in spite of all of this one needs to do their own homework in order to guarantee better profits from the best stock at a certain time.
Find more information on the best stock at the right time.
October 22, 2008 No Comments